Beirut Bombs Confirm Iran Deal Imminent

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by Fintan Dunne - 19th Nov 2013 @ 11pmEST

In the wake of two explosions targeting the Iranian embassy in Beirut, the clearing dust reveals a key intelligence implication of the bombing : a successful international deal with Iran is imminent.

The signs have been pointing towards resolution, since Sunday, when the Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif said that Iran sees "no necessity for [its] right to enrichment to be recognised."

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani later spoke with Putin and China's Xi. Vladimir Putin was officially quoted telling Rouhani that there was a “real chance” of deal over the Iranian nuclear program. Momentum was clearly gathering.

On Tuesday afternoon, David Cameron made the first phone call by a British prime minister to an Iranian president in over a decade. The call may well have been in response to the bombs in Beirut earlier that day.

The timing of those blasts are a clear warning by parties hostile to a negotiated solution. Iran promptly blamed Israel.

An intelligence assessment indicates that the Sunni Abdullah Azzam Brigade who claimed the bombings would not dare stage such a signal attack, at such a signal moment - unless approved by one or more nation State actors.

The message is clear: "Make peace with Iran, and we will widen and intensify regional conflict."

As we take two steps forward, some take one step back.

A deal's a Win. 

 But, clearly not without cost to come.

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